Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2.098019 2.397595 2.715465 3.076882 3.475407 3.900429 4.386959
2025-01-26 1.587785 2.011501 2.497036 3.089812 3.788980 4.582346 5.545343
2025-02-02 1.251876 1.742531 2.344803 3.126676 4.102176 5.266054 6.745440
2025-02-09 0.993134 1.510080 2.186069 3.113013 4.327145 5.838360 7.833676
2025-02-16 0.788609 1.305522 2.023077 3.057668 4.473001 6.301018 8.794585
2025-02-23 0.658579 1.178419 1.939798 3.086842 4.715408 6.885078 9.925331
2025-03-02 0.538971 1.043271 1.822305 3.046965 4.848157 7.318256 10.866159
2025-03-09 0.460874 0.958764 1.765726 3.082736 5.079715 7.886579 12.002860
2025-03-16 0.387360 0.867740 1.685003 3.069171 5.231067 8.342253 12.995525
2025-03-23 0.350698 0.835792 1.694691 3.193562 5.590394 9.104170 14.440659
2025-03-30 0.314751 0.798358 1.689222 3.289905 5.908193 9.814904 15.834520
2025-04-06 0.265011 0.723566 1.608110 3.251288 6.008516 10.204109 16.772810
2025-04-13 0.232963 0.681354 1.583669 3.310967 6.275779 10.865769 18.152557
2025-04-20 0.202654 0.636984 1.549935 3.351515 6.514572 11.495681 19.511908
2025-04-27 0.177465 0.599097 1.523798 3.402425 6.771995 12.163620 20.951010
2025-05-04 0.150503 0.550138 1.468266 3.392748 6.923657 12.668827 22.156737
2025-05-11 0.124107 0.495334 1.392197 3.335565 6.986746 13.031639 23.150913
2025-05-18 0.107823 0.464499 1.363926 3.367709 7.206852 13.653766 24.565559
2025-05-25 0.089484 0.421716 1.301889 3.325355 7.287977 14.047626 25.628195
2025-06-01 0.078174 0.397898 1.280795 3.363850 7.516620 14.691205 27.102875
2025-06-08 0.065950 0.366690 1.236791 3.349382 7.644007 15.166597 28.317589
2025-06-15 0.061428 0.362472 1.260695 3.482683 8.056885 16.140198 30.366273
2025-06-22 0.056111 0.353472 1.270801 3.585867 8.415762 17.030802 32.299687